Real-Time Indicators

"AI that exceeds human capabilities across nearly all cognitive domains is likely to arrive within 1-2 years, and almost certainly within 5 years."

"There's like a 50% chance of AGI by the end of the decade."

"We went from AI that could barely write code to AI that writes most code in about 2 years."

"50% of entry-level white collar work could be significantly disrupted within the next 1-5 years."

"I can look forward to a time where on the more junior end and then on the more intermediate end, we actually need less and not more people."

"AI will replace literally half of all white-collar workers."

"I think it's going to happen this year actually, that entry-level jobs will start being affected."

"It cuts by ability level, not job type."

"We will need fewer people doing some of the jobs that are being done today, and more people doing other types of jobs."

"AI flattens our hiring curve, and helps us innovate from idea to product faster."

"SaaSpocalypse"

"Investors now question whether businesses will pay for ten software licenses when one AI agent can perform equivalent work autonomously."

"This year is the defining year whether companies are AI winners or victims. Until the dust settles, it's a dangerous path to be standing in the way of AI."

"Think of this as a country of millions of geniuses in a datacenter, operating 10-100x faster than humans."

"I'm constantly surprised even when I meet economists at places like this that they're not more thinking about what happens."