Timeline
Three scenarios for AI displacement based on AGI arrival timelines. Watch how 8 parallel systems evolve from today through the transition.
Select Scenario
AGI TimelineHow to read this: Each scenario shows the same events, but timing shifts based on when AGI arrives. "Major" events are marked with larger indicators.
←Scroll horizontally to see all events→
Now
AGI
2026
2028
2030
2032
AI Capability
Employment
SaaS Dies
Economic System
Policy Response
Real Estate
USD / Currency
Social Stability (US)
How to Read This
Major event (critical transition point)
Minor event (supporting development)
Current year (2026)
AGI arrival year
Click any event dot to see details. All 8 tracks show parallel developments across different systems.
Trajectory: Where This Goes
No one knows the exact probabilities. But we can track the indicators that determine which path we're on.
You are here2025-2026
Denial & Acceleration
Corporate Consolidation
2026-2028
Peak Displacement
Corporate Consolidation peaks, instability emerges
?
Does policy respond?
2026-2028
Instability
Managed Transition
2028-2030
Instability
Prolonged turbulence
2028-2030
Managed Transition
Policy-driven stabilization
?
Does instability trigger emergency?
2028-2030
Deeper Crisis
Late Managed Transition
2030+
Deeper Crisis
Crisis extends into 2030s
2030-2035
Late Managed Transition
Emergency response (more painful)
2030-2035
New Equilibrium
Stabilized but fundamentally different labor market